Chubby snow, and then a mess Tuesday into Wednesday.
It was still snow here as of 2pm, but will taper and end by mid-afternoon. Snow totals I predicted were a little low. Be sure to email me your measurements (your snow measurements - keep it clean) so I can pass them along to the people.
Temperatures will drop into the 20s this evening, teens overnight. During tomorrow morning's commute, expect temperatures to be around 20. There will be some issues with freezing, and with roads that still haven't been cleared, but given that the snow will end by mid-afternoon, I don't see a cancellation tomorrow. It's a classic two-hour delay scenario.
Chance of delay Tuesday, 70%
Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 40%
Then the Tuesday night to Wednesday storm. Here's what I see:
Precipitation begins as snow Tuesday evening around 8 or 9pm. Snow accumulates 2-4 inches, then mixes with (and changes to) sleet and freezing rain by 9am Wednesday. Models are trending colder for this event, so it appears it will be mostly snow. That is good thing, actually, as a prolonged period of icing could lead to widespread power outages and all sorts of nastiness. Ends as rain early Wednesday afternoon.
His name is David Hasselhoff, and he can sing.Rain/snow lines, temperatures in the upper atmosphere, and surface temperatures will be key here. The forecast above is what I believe will happen. (I also predicted a grinding defensive battle in the Super Bowl, with the Broncos winning 18-14.)
Chance of delay Wednesday, 80%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 60%
Sunny, breezy, and colder on Thursday. High of 30, overnight low down to 8.
Chance of delay Thursday, 35%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 10%
Sunny and cold again on Friday. High of 30.
Cloudy and cold on Saturday, but snow-free. High of 31.
Sunday into Monday looks like a significant storm. Later this week, that storm will come into better focus.
Stay!
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