Right to the weather:
A few clouds overnight with a low of 42.
Monday looks partly cloudy, then mostly cloudy at night. High 74, low 48.
Tuesday will be cloudy and breezy with a shower or two possible (but predominantly dry). High 73, low 57.
Wednesday will cloudy and a bit chillier with showers a bit likelier, but not a washout by any means. High 66, low 54.
On Thursday we'll see some clearing, but a lingering shower or two. Milder with a high of 72 and a low of 53.
Friday will be the nicest (and warmest) day of the week: periods of clouds and sun; high 81, low 58.
Next weekend will be a departure from the last two, which were respendent with clear, blue skies. We'll see some showers, particularly on Saturday--but again, neither day will be a washout. Cloudy and breezy (and quite windy on Sunday). Highs in the lower 70s; lows in the mid 50s.
Next week looks clear and cooler, with highs on Monday and Tuesday in the low to mid 60s. Rainy and warmer by the second half of the week.
It's been a tough couple of weeks around my workplace, for a variety of reasons. It's hard to know what I can say or what I should say. So let's talk about the weather, shall we?
Chilly night ahead, with lows dipping into the mid 30s in some places and Frost Advisories posted.
The weekend looks gorgeous: clear skies (especially on Saturday), highs in the low 70s, calm winds. Lows in the mid 40s.
Late Sunday night (really, early Monday morning) we'll see some showers develop. Monday will be overcast and cooler (highs struggling to reach 60) with rain and drizzle on and off. Overnight low in the low 50s.
Tuesday will be mostly cloudy with some showers and drizzle possible, especially in the morning. Highs in the mid 60s. Overnight low again in the low 50s.
On Wednesday, May begins! Carbon copy of Tuesday, basically. High in the mid 60s.
Overcast Thursday again with rain or drizzle late. High in the mid 60s. Clouds break on Friday but temperatures will again be in the mid 60s.
Next weekend will be much like this weekend, just breezier and cloudier. Highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. Rain coming in late Sunday.
Next week (the week of May 6th) looks cooler (highs in the 50s) and wet (showers likely Monday through Wednesday), but as we get toward the end of the week and into the next weekend, we'll see temperatures warm up considerably.
The end is in sight, my friends. Stay strong.
You thought it was tough getting the children to concentrate on their schoolwork before? And you thought the students were clad in some uncomfortably revealing, spilling-out-every-which-way, I-didn't-need-to-see-that outfits before? Just wait until it's 80 degrees and sunny outside.
For extra delight, add the incessant question, "Can we go outside to do English today?" (answer: no; the only acceptable reason to go outdoors is to travel from one indoors to another).
Digression: today is James Garner's 85th birthday! Thanks for your great roles in "The Rockford Files," "Maverick," The Americanization of Emily, My Fellow Americans, and many others. Many of you know that Jim Rockford is my favorite television detective ever--and "The Rockford Files" is a stronger show over all than "Knight Rider." I know, I know: blasphemy. But I gots to be honest.
So here is what to expect:
Monday 4/8 will be warmer with variable cloudiness. Look out for a few isolated showers in the afternoon or evening. High 72, low 53.
Tuesday 4/9 will be overcast to start (with a shower or two early), then clearing and markedly warmer in the afternoon. High 78 - much higher than the average high this time of year (49-50), but not likely to reach the record high for this date (85, set in 1991).
Wednesday 4/10 looks mostly sunny and warm. High 77, low 57.
Thursday 4/11 brings some changes. Expect partly sunny, breezy and warm (high 75) conditions in the morning and early afternoon; then a cold front moves through, bringing some showers and even a thunderstorm in the late afternoon. Rain, heavy at times, overspreads the area Thursday evening into Friday morning. Overnight low 51.
Friday 4/12 will be overcast, breezy and cooler with rain, especially early. High 56, low 39.
Saturday 4/13 looks a lot like Saturday 4/6: sunny and gorgeous with a high of 62 and a low of 40.
Sunday 4/14 brings more of the same: sunny and a bit warmer with a high of 67 and a low of 41.
Next week: sunny and warmer again, with mid-70s by midweek, then more seasonable with highs in the upper 50s by the end of the week.
Next weekend: right now, Saturday 4/20 looks like a carbon copy of 4/13 and 4/6. Sunday the 21st, however, looks chilly and rainy and gross with highs only in the low 50s.
On a go-forward basis, all of my forecasts will be issued in the Americanized version of the ancient Japanese poetic form, haiku.
Then chillier tomorrow
And then mild again
Twenties next few nights
Wet sixties by next Monday
First day of April
Traditional pranking day
Screw this. Too hard. April Fool's. Here's the forecast:
Temperatures dipping into the upper 20s overnight. Still windy.
Tuesday will be colder and still windy with variable cloudiness. High 44, low 26. (But these values will feel like the mid 30s and low 20s because of the goddamned wind.)
Wednesday will be pretty much the same as Tuesday. High 42, low 24.
Thursday looks milder, as we should expect for this time of year. Less windy, too. Sunny to start, then clouding up later. High 56, low 41.
Rainy Friday. Overcast and pluvious. High 52, low 44.
The weekend looks milder and sunnier. Generally sunny. Highs in the upper 50s, lows in the upper 30s to low 40s.
Next week will see pleasant and much warmer conditions. Highs in the mid-80s. April Fool's!! Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Next weekend looks rainy and miserable. And windy. That would be the 13th and 14th. Sorry.
Thereafter: 70s, and not as wet as you might expect.
One last haiku:
Cole Hamels' moustache
Sadly, shorn too soon
Umida solstitia atque hiemes orate serenas, agricolae.
That's Latin, and it translates roughly to "Farmers, may your summers be wet and your winters clear."
It was written by Virgil, a Roman epic poet in the first century BCE best-known for his Aeneid.
It's also the name of the upcoming winter storm--the one that's already dumping an early-spring accumulation on the midwest--according to the Weather Channel. (I just can't pass up an opportunity to ridicule TWC.)
There is a lot working against this storm--namely, that it will have to overcome the late-March sun angle and the buildup of milder surface temperatures. And the bulk of the event will occur during the day Monday, so if it does snow, it may have a hard time accumulating.
Working in our favor (for accumulating snow) is the fact that temperatures have been well below normal for the past couple of weeks, and the projected high for Monday is 35.
Some forecast models have us (in Reading and the Lehigh Valley) getting 4 to 8 inches of accumulating snow.
Alright, enough stalling. I've got to make a call. Here it is:
We may see some flurries on Sunday night, but snow won't begin in earnest until 3 or 4am Monday. Snow intensifies toward late morning, mixing with sleet and rain. (I do think that the bulk of this event will be snow; in that way, it will be reminiscent of last Monday's action.) Snow tapers by 8pm Monday.
In Philadelphia, its immediate suburbs, and south Jersey, we'll see a more rain and mixing, so I'm just going to call it a slushy coating to an inch for them.
Back to us: Berks and the Lehigh Valley will see 2 to 3 inches of accumulation, mainly on grassy and unpaved surfaces. At various times throughout the day we could see slippery travel, as we did last Monday--particularly during the morning commute and when the snow is at its most intense (late morning and early to mid afternoon), when even major roads can become coated for a time.
Chance of delay Monday, 40%
Chance of cancellation Monday, 30%
Chance of early dismissal Monday, 20%
Chance of delay Tuesday, 50%
Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 10%
Chance of I can't believe you're still reading this: 100%
Stay tuned for updates; I will send out further notifications when and if my forecast changes...
I've been tracking the storm and wanted to give you an update: my thinking has not changed in terms of the precipitation type, timing, and percentages I laid out in my most recent forecast.
The current radar: