FIVE GOLD RINGS!

Witness the power of suggestion: I have just put that song in your heads.  (You are welcome.)

Here's what to expect for the rest of the month.

My newest tat.Windy and chilly (but with some sun) on Thursday 12/18.  High will be 44, but it'll only feel like 2 with the wind.  Nah, kidding.  But it'll feel like the upper 20s.  Gusty and shit.  Tomorrow night's low will be 28.

Friday 12/19 looks chilly and breezy with more clouds than sun.  Not as windy as Thursday, but still.  It'll feel like 32-ish.  Overnight lows plunge all the way down to 25.

Saturday 12/20 was looking interesting for a snow/rain event, but that's tracking south, so it's looking like a "miss" for us.  I'll say cloudy and chilly with a few light snow showers possible Saturday evening and night.  Temperatures holding steady in the 30s.

On Sunday 12/21 it'll be mostly cloudy but dry.  Highs in the 40s.

Rainy on Monday 12/22 - but that's rain, not snow or sleet.

Some sun on Tuesday 12/23 and rather mild, with highs in the mid 40s.

Wednesday 12/24 looks milder still, with highs in the upper 40s.  Expect breezy conditions with occasional rain showers.

Will we have a white Christmas?

RACIST.

Thursday 12/25 will be seasonably cooler (highs in the upper 30s) and a bit rainy/drizzly.  We could see some light freezing rain/sleet overnight into Friday.  But don't cancel your yuletide debaucheries.

Pattern shift on Friday 12/26: it becomes colder.  High only in the mid 30s and a little brisk.

What about the weekend of the 27th and 28th?

I'm glad you asked.

A cold and icy shitshow, especially on Sunday.  Highs don't even get above freezing.

Monday 12/29 will be sunny and really cold with highs in the 20s and lows in the teens.

Continued cold on Tuesday 12/30 and Wednesday 12/31 (full disclosure: it took me seven tries to type "Wednesday" correctly).  Highs around freezing with some snow showers possible on the 30th.

When will it snow for reals, Monsoon?

January 1st and 5th and 8th and 12th, my good people.  (At least that's what I've got my weather-eye on.)

Have a happy and healthy holiday season.  I mean it.  And happy new year.

Stay tuned for updates!

Monsoon

Posted on Wednesday, December 17, 2014 at 07:48PM by Registered CommenterMonsoon Martin | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

Scattered snow showers tonight, flurries tomorrow

Hi there.

Tonight (Wednesday 12/10), we'll see windy conditions with scattered snow showers.  There will be little to no accumulation, but during a period of steadier snowfall we could see a slick spot or two (even some reduced visibility), so be careful.  (Watch your bridges and overpasses, too, since they tend to freeze sooner than other paved surfaces.)

Tomorrow (Thursday 12/11), we'll see mostly cloudy and windy conditions continue.  Scattered snow showers (and later, flurries) throughout the day.  There may even be a period or two of steadier snow that'll produce some "are we getting out early"s and "can we open the window"s, but won't last.

Chance of delay Thursday, 32%

Chance of cancellation Thursday, 7%

Friday 12/12 will be breezy and seasonably cold with times of clouds and sun.  It will be dry (no snow or rain or whatnot), but not great for being outside.  Highs will be in the upper 30s, and winds will be out of the west-northwest at 15-20mph.  So at, say, 1pm, it'll be 38 degrees out but it'll feel like 27.  So it's not the best day to be outdoors, so if you have a job like construction worker, or surveyor, or garbage collector, or educator who needs to march his or her kids from one place to the next, gird your loins.  If you must be outside--let's say, you are required to do so, like it's your job--then bundle up.  It'll feel like it did today when we left school--chilly and unpleasantly brisk--minus the snow showers.

The weekend looks a bit milder (highs in the low to mid 40s), less windy, and certainly sunnier.  Overnight lows just a short-hair below freezing.

Next week looks really nice: seasonable and dry.  Highs will be in the 40s for the week, and then no frozen precipitation straight through to Christmas.  Still looking at December 27th-29th as a potential snowmaker, and expect it to get downright frigid right around that time, too.

Stay tuned for updates!

Monsoon

Posted on Wednesday, December 10, 2014 at 04:47PM by Registered CommenterMonsoon Martin | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

Messy, soggy, chilly week ahead -- but nothing too rough

Motivational poster; words by Michael ScottSo there's a Nor'easter on the way, and it will dump lots of rain (but probably nothing else) on parts of our area.  The SparkNotes version of the forecast is this: a lot of precipitation, but mainly rain on Tuesday; snow showers on Wednesday and Thursday that won't amount to anything; and milder beyond that.  And the rain represents depression or something.

Here's the full version of the forecast.

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way – in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only.

Motivational poster; words by Dwight SchruteAlright.  Happy medium.

Monday 12/8: In the mid 30s throughout the day.  Precipitation begins by 8pm.  Look for snow and sleet mixing in overnight, but by Tuesday morning, all will be rain.  Up to 2 inches of rain for us; more in Jersey, so ponding on roads and even some flash flooding is possible.  Precipitation ends by midnight, and I think it's gone before the cold air builds in, so the vast majority of the precipitation will be rain.  Temperatures in the mid to upper 30s.  Windy on Tuesday: 15-20mph with gusts above 30mph, so it will actually feel like the 20s (teens at night).

Wednesday 12/10: Rain and snow showers on Wednesday morning and afternoon, but nothing that will accumulate or make things nasty.  High in the mid to upper 30s.

Motivational poster; words by SchmidtThursday 12/11: Breezy and cloudy with scattered rain and snow showers; highs in the mid to upper 30s.

Friday 12/12: Clouds mixed with sun.  High in the low 40s; lows in the upper 20s.

The weekend looks partly sunny with highs in the upper 40s and low 50s - a perfectly delightful mid-December weekend.

Beyond: Milder, generally.  Highs in the 40s, lows in the 30s.  I don't really see any appreciable wintry precipitation until December 26th-29th.

Stay tuned for updates!

Monsoon 

Posted on Sunday, December 7, 2014 at 07:56PM by Registered CommenterMonsoon Martin | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

Rain update for Friday-Saturday

Hey!  Just a little update.
There was a little bit of concern about tomorrow's rain event - folks wanted to see if any of it would be frozen precipitation and whether schools would be closed or delayed.
 
Hasselhoff. Check that hair, though. Shit is on point.
The rain's not going to start in earnest until late Friday afternoon.
Temperatures will be in the upper 30s to near 40 by then.  And temperatures will actually rise overnight into Saturday, which will be chilly.
But the more concise answer is: no.
None of the precipitation will be frozen, no travel will be impacted, no school schedules will be affected.
Saturday looks like a washout.  Rainy, sometimes heavy rain, Saturday and Saturday night.
Sunday looks clear, sunny, chilly, and windy.  High of 45 will feel like 31.  Low of 28 will feel like 22.
Alright, that is all.  Carry on.
Posted on Thursday, December 4, 2014 at 08:49PM by Registered CommenterMonsoon Martin | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

Welcome to December, the tenth month (...?)

It is December.  Today is the first day of the month.  December has 31 days.  "December" comes from the Latin decem, meaning "ten," because December was originally the 10th month on the Roman calendar.  (It followed September, the 7th month; October, the 8th month; and November, the 9th month.)  Then a succession of Roman emperors added months and whatnot, and there was a papal intervention, and egos took over.  And, as happens when egos and government and religion become involved, something clear and simple became convoluted and irrevocably complex.  So the last four months of the year are still called September, October, November, and December, but the names no longer make a damned bit of sense.

But the weather.  What of the weather?

Mild today, at least to start.  Mostly cloudy with a passing shower possible in the early afternoon.  Temperatures will reach the mid 50s by noontime and then tumble precipitously throughout the rest of the day.  By midnight it'll be around the mid 30s.

Much colder Tuesday 12/2 with temperatures holding steady at or just above freezing.  A weak cold front will bring some precipitation, some of which will be frozen.  Expect snow showers mixed with sleet in the afternoon and early evening.  I don't see any accumulation here, but there could be a few issues with visibility or slipperiness in the evening commute.

Chance of cancellation Tuesday, 2.441%

Chance of early dismissal Tuesday, 12.992%

Cloudy and milder on Wednesday with a passing rain shower or two in the morning.  High around 50, low 34.

Not quite as mild, but clouds will still dominate on Thursday.  High 44, low 31.

Friday looks overcast and chilly with highs in the upper 30s.  Potential for a bit of rain and sleet, especially toward evening, so I'll keep an eye on that.

The weekend will be overcast with highs on both days in the mid 40s.  And on both days, scattered rain showers are likely.

Seasonable (and actually sunny) next week!  Highs in the upper 40s, lows in the mid 30s.  Getting colder toward the end of the week.

The next real chance of frozen (or freezing) precipitation beyond the forecast period looks to be December 16th - 17th

Stay tuned for updates!

Monsoon 

Posted on Monday, December 1, 2014 at 10:46AM by Registered CommenterMonsoon Martin | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint
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