monsoonmartin

Hey friends...

The storm has come into clearer focus and accelerated a bit, so I thought I'd share an update...

Tonight: clear and cold with a low of 10.

Tuesday 2/12: Clouding up throughout the morning with some flurries possible by late morning.  Snowfall will not begin in earnest until at least 2 or 3pm, though.  Snow will become steadier at times throughout the evening, mixing with sleet and changing to freezing rain sometime overnight.  (Some models have the rain changeover sooner, but given the extremely low surface temps and weak low, I'm not buying it.  I think the frozen precipitation predominates in this storm.)  High 28, low 24.

Wednesday 2/13: The freezing rain and sleet should change over to plain rain by mid morning, but accumulations of snow and sleet--and ice-coated power lines, branches, and roads--will still hamper travel.  Some mixed precipitation may sneak in as the precipitation tapers off in the afternoon.  High 38, low 21.

Accumulations: I'm sticking with 2-3 inches of snow and ice, perhaps a bit less in southern Berks and northern Lancaster Counties, making travel extremely dangerous and ill-advised on Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning.

School schedule: Chance of early dismissal Tuesday 20%; chance of delay Wednesday 85%; chance of cancellation Wednesday 40%.

As always, I remind you humbly that I am but an amateur meteorologist, and implore you to be gentle in judging my errors...

Monsoon