monsoonmartin

It's going to snow.

Tomorrow (Wednesday 2/8) will be partly sunny with an unseasonably mild temperature getting into the upper 50s (around noon).

But then the temperature falls precipitously: 40s by 5pm, 30s by 11pm, and through the 20s all day Thursday.  (Thursday's high of 31 will actually occur just after midnight.)

Snow will fall thick and fast between about 2am and 11am, tapering to snow showers in the afternoon.

How much?  

4-6 inches in most areas, with isolated areas approaching 10!

School?  

Chance that we'll have at least a delay: 82.1%

Chance that we'll go to school and have an early D: 40%

Chance of a snow day: 71.889%

Monsoon

Evidence:

October 30, 2011 - high of 39.  A freak snowstorm downs leaf-laden limbs.  Mass hysteria.

October 30, 2016 - mostly sunny, high of 82.  Rain and thunderstorms late afternoon and evening.

And October 31, 2016 - cooler and a bit breezy; mostly sunny with a high of 56.

The first day of November will be partly cloudy with a high in the low 60s, and then the second and third days of November will see highs in the low 70s again (and maybe a shower or thunderstorm on Friday as a cold front moves through).

Sunny with highs in the upper 50s for the 4th, 5th, 6th, and 7th.  And no rain forecast for Election Day (until later in the evening), which is fortunate, because if there's one thing we Americans lead the world in, it's finding any possible excuse not to vote.

And now, on to Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ):

When will we have a hard frost to end the misery of seasonal allergy sufferers?  First hard frost will probably be around the 18th of November.

When will it snow?  The 2nd half of November is setting up in a pretty wintry pattern, so I think we'll see the first measurable snow of the season by the end of November.

Will we have a white Christmas?  So racist, and no, at this point, it doesn't look like it.

Will it be a cold winter?  Not especially.  I mean, it's cold in winter.  But the only really frigid period I can foresee is the 2nd half of January, when temperatures will dip into the teens.

Will it be a snowy winter?  I see more mixed events than snow at this point given the dominance of La Nina.  But this far out, nobody really knows.  Anyone who claims to is selling something.  (To paraphrase Cary Elwes' character in The Princess Bride.)

Monsoon

Hit up my Twitter, where I will be live tweeting the whole thing.

You can also find these pithy observations and fantasticness on my Facebook page.

And so all the world can find my posts quickly, I will use the hashtag #snarknado4 on each tweet I ... tweet.

Monsoon

... and finally, an Elton John song about resilience after being rejected by his gay lover.

#makeamericasuckit