Updated forecast for Wednesday 3/7/18
Monday, March 5, 2018 at 08:04PM
Monsoon Martin

Right to it.

First, I will present the forecast for the Reading/Berks area.  (Also applies to Lehigh Valley.)

Rain showers begin by 5-6pm on Tuesday.  Changeover to all snow by 11-12pm.  The most intense/heavy snowfall will be Wednesday from about noon-5pm.  Tapers by 9-11pm.  Could even be some stray flurries and snow showers on Thursday morning.

Accumulation: 8-12 inches.  Maybe even a bit more in isolated areas.

My concern is that areas affected by power outages last Friday (some of whom still don't have it back on) may be impacted more severely by this storm.  If you imagine a Venn diagram with that encompasses those slammed by last Friday's storm and those that are in the bull's eye for this storm, hunker down, guys. 

School impacts:

Chance of school delay on Wednesday, 7.82% (wouldn't make much sense)

Chance of early dismissal Wednesday, 96.23% (if there is school)

Chance of cancellation Wednesday, 79.27%

Chance of delay on Thursday, 61.55%

Chance of cancellation on Thursday, 43.11%

Forecast for areas other than Berks:

NYC and north Jersey (including Nutley), a bit more mixed precipitation, but still impressive totals of 7-9 inches.  Snow doesn't get going til overnight Tuesday-Wednesday.

Lititz and Lancaster are right on the edge of this system.  Same with Kirkwood and Gap.  Just snow showers with 2-3 inches of accumulation.

Harrisburg and Shippensburg, definite outliers.  Scattered rain and snow showers will give way to more frequent periods of snow on Wednesday afternoon.  Only about 1-2 inches.

State College, you get snow showers on and off between Tuesday night and Wednesday night, but nothing that will accumulate or be problematic.

Philadelphia and immediate suburbs, 4-6 inches.  (Isolated areas and higher-elevation areas get a little more.)  A bit more mixing.  Kinda windy, but nothing approaching what we had last Friday.

Princeton, NJ, pretty much the same accumulation as Berks and Lehigh.  About 8-12 inches.  Kinda windy.

Toms River, NJ, a wintry mix accumulating 2-3 inches.  Unlike other places, the Jersey Shore and South Jersey will be impacted by sleet.  So that will make things treacherous.

As always, please send your snow reports and travel impacts to me via email.

Stay tuned for updates.

Monsoon 

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