This asshole-y wind has already begun to subside (20mph with gusts of 30mph, down from 30/50 earlier). Temperatures have stayed low, though: it's 12 as I type this (4:10pm) and it's only going to fall this evening and overnight.
By just before daybreak on Monday, the temperature will be -3 and the wind chill will be -25. That's just ridiculously, obnoxiously cold. It's like, Hey, winter, we get it. It's cold. Move on.
Wind chills will be below zero all day Monday, popping above zero in the late afternoon. High of 16 that day. And then snow at night!
Flurries and light snow showers may develop by 8 or 9pm Monday night, but the steadier/heavier snow will fall after about midnight/1am. Snow begins to taper by 8 or 9am Tuesday, but doesn't end altogether until maybe 11am. Accumulation: 2-4 inches.
Snow showers on Wednesday morning as another front moves through, but this will amount to nothing (either in terms of delays/cancellations or in terms of accumulation).
And then Thursday looks like a carbon copy of today: very windy with daytime temperatures getting into the teens, then overnight lows below zero. (And wind chills, again, approaching -20.)
Friday turns out cold (highs near 20, that's it) but with subsiding wind.
And then the weekend looks a bit milder, but potentially snowy. So damn.
That's it, then. After the weekend of February 21st/22nd, winter is over. No more snow or drifting snow or nad-rattling wind chills. No more.
Oh! The percentages. Here:
Chance of delay Monday 2/16..........85%
Chance of cancellation Monday 2/16..........61%
Chance of delay Tuesday 2/17..........88%
Chance of cancellation Tuesday 2/17..........54%
Chance of delay Wednesday 2/18..........16%
Chance of cancellation Wednesday..........6%
Chance of delay Thursday..........59%
Chance of cancellation Thursday..........22%
Chance of delay Friday..........41%
Chance of cancellation Friday..........12%
Stay tuned for updates!