Regarding Thursday's storm: there's still plenty of uncertainty in terms of track, precipitation type, and timing. But here's what I see...
Snow begins overnight Wednesday into Thursday (around 10pm Wednesday). Snow continues Thursday, varying in intensity. Thursday morning, Thursday afternoon, Thursday evening, Thursday night. Snow, snow, snow, snow. Snow ends by 3 or 4am Friday.
Amount - right now, it looks like we're in the bull's eye for 12-16 inches of snow. That could be less if precipitation type mixes or track changes. But right now I'm thinking:
Chance of delay Thursday, 25%
Chance of cancellation Thursday, 85%
Chance of delay Friday, 80%
Chance of cancellation Friday, 65%
Leading to that storm, we'll see some frigid-assed weather. Low tonight down to 10. Tuesday's high, 25; low all the way down to 4. Wednesday's high, 25 again; low, 12.
This is a really depressing forecast, so here's this:
Stay tuned for updates!